Mithqal — مثقال ← The measurement log
Out of sample · 2026-09

The month, reconciled

2026-09: 32 resolved calls averaging -0.1243R over 46.9% wins.

Published
32
Resolved
32
Win rate
46.9%
Total R
-3.98

By style

StyleResolvedWin rate Mean RTotal RMeasured verdict
scalping2152.4% -0.1258 -2.64 no demonstrated edge
swing10.0% -1.0000 -1.00 measured no edge
intraday1040.0% -0.0337 -0.34 no demonstrated edge

What this month does and does not prove

The reference this is read against is data/measurement.json, which currently records no demonstrated edge for any style. A month that runs positive is therefore not confirmation of an edge, and a month that runs negative is not evidence of decay -- both are single samples, and the control chart on the record page is what actually watches for decay.

The whole record, call by call, is on the verify page, and every individual call has its own page with the readings that produced it.

Other months